Own report: News of some relief! The Corona (Covid-19) in the second wave, which went to the final stage and showed its brutal power, will not happen again. Scientists are showing the light of hope. According to some scientists, the third wave will reach its final destination during Pujo, while others say that there are still 6 to 7 months left. Mathematical model Manindra Agarwal, a member of the government panel, says the horrors of the second wave will never happen again. Will be much less affected. Half of the people in the second wave will be captured by Coronid (Covid-19).

However, he acknowledged that their numbers were not enough to defeat Cole’s administration.

Third wave–Why would so few people be affected?

In this context, he put forward the mathematical model, predicting this relief depending on the human immunity, the antibodies made in the vaccine, the ability of the new strain of the corona.

According to this forecast, the second wave will end by the second week of August. Then the third wave will reach its peak in October. Will continue until November. According to Manindra Agarwal, when the third wave reaches its climax, the number of victims will increase from 1.5 million to 200,000.

stellensatz @ Ashutos61 @ Sandeep_1966 shekhar_mande It took us a while to do the analysis for three reasons. First, loss of immunity in recovered population. Second, vaccination induced immunity. Each of these two needs to be estimated for future.

– Manindra Agrawal (agrawalmanindra) July 2, 2021

Here are plots for the three scenarios. Blue curve is actual data. Orange one is model prediction until May. Dotted curves are three scenarios plotted from June. pic.twitter.com/yDeLnp2rQf

– Manindra Agrawal (agrawalmanindra) July 2, 2021

Incidentally, Monindra Agarwal had earlier predicted the second wave. However, the power of the delta strain disproved his interpretation of the mathematical model of the time.